Debt has no place in traditional academic macroeconomic models. Successful traders and speculators, however, have always relied on debt cycles to predict crashes. After the Great Recession and ...

When will the next recession start? No one knows despite the very confident talking heads on TV who speak with great certainty about things they cannot know.

Long-time bear David Rosenberg shares seven reasons why the US will follow the rest of the world into a recession, despite what most economists say.

Is a recession likely? A recession is a prolonged period of economic decline, often defined as two quarters of negative economic growth.

A trend in the stock market shows investors are betting on continued US growth, one firm says. Historically, an increase in defensive valuations has preceded a recession, but that's not happening ...

U.S. recession fears are in the air following President Donald Trump's tariff plan, with prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi indicating heightened concerns the economy will take a hit.

The current preoccupation about a recession is largely based on the fact that the current economic expansion and the accompanying bull market are both long-running. So, as the reasoning goes, both ...

From rising inflation to market signals like the yield curve, experts predicting a U.S. recession have plenty of historical evidence to back up their claims.